544 Warren Ln

Key Biscayne, FL 33149 · single_family · For Sale · 4 days on market
Asking price$8,000,000
6 beds 6 baths 1,044 sqft
Suggested offer$1,640,187$6,359,813 above the est. market value of $1,640,187.
View on Realtor.com →
Listed by James Duncan · Duncan Studio Real Estate Division Pllc
Typesingle_family
Built2026
Price / sqft$7663
Est. value (own analysis)$1,640,187
Rent estimate (own analysis)$27,000/mo
HOANone
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Neighborhood

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Statusfor_sale
Listed date2026-08-29
Removed date
MLSMiamiMLS #A12079811
Coordinates25.69138, -80.16925
Address544 Warren Ln
CityKey Biscayne
StateFL
Zip33149
Listing ID6237879602
Sourceus-real-estate-listings, cached 2026-08-31

ZIP market snapshot (33149)

Typical home value (ZHVI)$1,692,135
Typical rent (ZORI)$7,910/mo
Zillow Research's ZHVI (home value index) and ZORI (rent index) for this ZIP, as of 2026-07 — free published data, refreshed monthly, no RentCast quota spent. "Typical value/rent" is a smoothed index, not a literal median of active listings.

Underwriting (buy-and-hold, default assumptions)

Purchase price$8,000,000
Down payment (20.0%)$1,600,000
Loan amount$6,400,000
Closing costs (5.0%)$400,000
Total cash to close$2,000,000
Rent (comp-derived)$27,000$324,000
Vacancy loss (8.0%)

Vacancy Loss

Gross Scheduled Rent × Vacancy Rate

Gross scheduled rent (annual) comp$324,000
Vacancy rate (assumption) assumption8.0%

$324,000 × 8.0% = $25,920

Effective gross income$24,840$298,080
Property tax (placeholder 1.9% of price)$12,667$152,000
Insurance (placeholder 0.8% of price)$5,333$64,000
HOA dues$0$0
Management (0.0% of EGI)$0$0
Maintenance (5.0% of GSR)$1,350$16,200
Total operating expenses$19,350$232,200
Net operating income (NOI)

Net Operating Income (NOI)

Effective Gross Income − Total Operating Expenses

Effective gross income derived$298,080
Total operating expenses derived$232,200

$298,080 − $232,200 = $65,880

Debt service (6.66%, avg 30yr rate as of 2026-08-27, 30yr amortizing)

Monthly Principal & Interest

Standard amortization on the loan amount, at the effective rate and term

Loan amount derived$6,400,000
Interest rate (avg 30yr rate) comp6.7%
Term (assumption) assumption30 years

$6,400,000 amortized at 6.7% over 30 years = $41,128/mo

CapEx reserve (5.0% of GSR)$1,350$16,200
Mortgage insurance (PMI) (0.0% of loan, not required — down payment ≥ 20%)$0$0
Cash flow

Monthly Cash Flow

(NOI − Annual Debt Service − Annual CapEx Reserve − Annual PMI) ÷ 12

NOI derived$65,880
Annual debt service derived$493,537
Annual CapEx reserve assumption$16,200
Annual PMI assumption$0

($65,880 − $493,537 − $16,200 − $0) ÷ 12 = -$36,988

Cap rate

Cap Rate

NOI ÷ Purchase Price

NOI derived$65,880
Purchase price data$8,000,000

$65,880 ÷ $8,000,000 = 0.8%

Cash-on-cash

Cash-on-Cash Return

Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested

Annual cash flow derived-$443,857
Total cash to close derived$2,000,000

-$443,857 ÷ $2,000,000 = -22.2%

DSCR

Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR)

NOI ÷ Annual Debt Service

NOI derived$65,880
Annual debt service derived$493,537

$65,880 ÷ $493,537 = 0.13

Rent-to-price (1% rule)

Rent-to-Price (the "1% rule")

(Gross Scheduled Rent ÷ 12) ÷ Purchase Price

Gross scheduled rent (annual) comp$324,000
Purchase price data$8,000,000

($324,000 ÷ 12) ÷ $8,000,000 = 0.3%

Gross rent multiplier

Gross Rent Multiplier (GRM)

Purchase Price ÷ Gross Scheduled Rent

Purchase price data$8,000,000
Gross scheduled rent (annual) comp$324,000

$8,000,000 ÷ $324,000 = 24.7

Operating expense ratio

Operating Expense Ratio

Total Operating Expenses ÷ Effective Gross Income

Total operating expenses derived$232,200
Effective gross income derived$298,080

$232,200 ÷ $298,080 = 77.9%

Break-even occupancy

Break-Even Occupancy

(Total OpEx + Annual Debt Service + Annual PMI) ÷ Gross Scheduled Rent

Total operating expenses derived$232,200
Annual debt service derived$493,537
Annual PMI assumption$0
Gross scheduled rent (annual) comp$324,000

($232,200 + $493,537 + $0) ÷ $324,000 = 224.0%

Comparables

Same ZIP. Real active rental listings, used to derive the rent estimate above.

AddressTypeBedsBathsSqftAsking rentListedDays on market
single_family678,202$368,0502024-04-14
single_family653,356$21,4002026-02-06
single_family664,007$27,0002026-08-05
single_family694,757$21,5002026-03-02
single_family676,433$75,0002026-05-26

440 S Mashta Dr

Key Biscayne, 33149 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms6 bd / 7 ba
Square footage8,202
Listed2024-04-14
Days on market

Asking rent: $368,050

View on Zillow →

650 Curtiswood Dr

Key Biscayne, 33149 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms6 bd / 5 ba
Square footage3,356
Listed2026-02-06
Days on market

Asking rent: $21,400

View on Zillow →

6 Coconut Ln

Key Biscayne, 33149 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms6 bd / 6 ba
Square footage4,007
Listed2026-08-05
Days on market

Asking rent: $27,000

View on Zillow →

541 S Mashta Dr

Key Biscayne, 33149 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms6 bd / 9 ba
Square footage4,757
Listed2026-03-02
Days on market

Asking rent: $21,500

View on Zillow →

760 S Mashta Dr

Key Biscayne, 33149 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms6 bd / 7 ba
Square footage6,433
Listed2026-05-26
Days on market

Asking rent: $75,000

View on Zillow →

Same ZIP & bedroom count. Closed sales from Realtor.com over the last 12 months, matched to this property's type — real transaction prices, not asking prices. Falls back to Miami-Dade County public records (property appraiser tax roll) when Realtor.com has no sales on file for the area.

AddressTypeBedsBathsLiving sqftSale priceSale date
762 Fernwood Rdsingle_family653,584$5,690,0002026-06-15
285 Woodcrest Rdsingle_family663,520$6,700,0002026-04-22
635 Curtiswood Drsingle_family663,888$4,950,0002026-04-20
180 Cape Florida Drsingle_family688,031$21,000,0002026-02-26
320 Atlantic Rdsingle_family675,275$8,200,0002026-02-25
320 Woodcrest Rdsingle_family653,737$5,220,0002025-10-06

Same ZIP. Other properties currently for sale nearby — asking prices, not closed sale prices. Not a price comp; see Sold comps for actual transaction history.

AddressTypeBedsBathsSqftAsking priceDays on market
960 Mariner Drsingle_family6107,742$19,500,000
420 Island Drsingle_family686,405$12,485,000
120 Knollwood Drsingle_family676,208$19,950,000
650 Curtiswood Drsingle_family653,356$5,199,000
31 Island Drsingle_family675,826$9,800,000
165 Hampton Lnsingle_family693,842$8,250,000
110 Hampton Lnsingle_family673,550$6,900,000
238 Buttonwood Drsingle_family674,190$8,500,000

10-year hold projection

IRR-4.9%
Equity multiple0.18x
Total return (10yr)-$597,081
YearProperty valueNOICash flowLoan balanceEquity
1$8,240,000$65,880-$443,857$6,330,610$1,909,390
2$8,487,200$69,017-$441,125$6,256,455$2,230,745
3$8,741,816$72,278-$438,280$6,177,207$2,564,609
4$9,004,070$75,666-$435,317$6,092,517$2,911,553
5$9,274,193$79,186-$432,233$6,002,012$3,272,181
6$9,552,418$82,843-$429,023$5,905,292$3,647,127
7$9,838,991$86,642-$425,682$5,801,929$4,037,062
8$10,134,161$90,588-$422,206$5,691,469$4,442,692
9$10,438,185$94,686-$418,590$5,573,423$4,864,762
10$10,751,331$98,941-$414,828$5,447,271$5,304,060
Assumes 3.0% annual rent growth, 2.5% expense growth, 3.0% appreciation, and a 6.0% selling cost at exit — all placeholder assumptions, not market-derived.
All figures are estimates for evaluation purposes only, not investment, tax, legal, or insurance advice. Property tax is estimated from a real matched tax bill or millage rate when available, a placeholder % of price otherwise; insurance is scaled by flood and wind risk where those are known and a flat percentage otherwise — never a real quote. Verify all of them, along with association restrictions and permit status, before committing capital. Rent estimates come from real comps or Zillow’s ZIP index, not appraisals.