524 Warren Ln

Key Biscayne, FL 33149 · single_family · For Sale · 144 days on market
Asking price$3,730,000
5 beds 4 baths 2,700 sqft
View on Realtor.com →
Listed by Fabrice Ernandes · Serhant
Typesingle_family
Built1950
Price / sqft$1381
Est. value (own analysis)$3,863,014
Rent estimate (own analysis)$22,000/mo
HOANone
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Neighborhood

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Statusfor_sale
Listed date2026-04-11
Removed date
MLSMiamiMLS #A11999112
Coordinates25.69166, -80.16921
Address524 Warren Ln
CityKey Biscayne
StateFL
Zip33149
Listing ID6071077243
Sourceus-real-estate-listings, cached 2026-08-31

ZIP market snapshot (33149)

Typical home value (ZHVI)$1,692,135
Typical rent (ZORI)$7,910/mo
Zillow Research's ZHVI (home value index) and ZORI (rent index) for this ZIP, as of 2026-07 — free published data, refreshed monthly, no RentCast quota spent. "Typical value/rent" is a smoothed index, not a literal median of active listings.

Underwriting (buy-and-hold, default assumptions)

Purchase price$3,730,000
Down payment (20.0%)$746,000
Loan amount$2,984,000
Closing costs (5.0%)$186,500
Total cash to close$932,500
Rent (comp-derived)$22,000$264,000
Vacancy loss (8.0%)

Vacancy Loss

Gross Scheduled Rent × Vacancy Rate

Gross scheduled rent (annual) comp$264,000
Vacancy rate (assumption) assumption8.0%

$264,000 × 8.0% = $21,120

Effective gross income$20,240$242,880
Property tax (placeholder 1.9% of price)$5,906$70,870
Insurance (placeholder 0.8% of price)$2,487$29,840
HOA dues$0$0
Management (0.0% of EGI)$0$0
Maintenance (5.0% of GSR)$1,100$13,200
Total operating expenses$9,493$113,910
Net operating income (NOI)

Net Operating Income (NOI)

Effective Gross Income − Total Operating Expenses

Effective gross income derived$242,880
Total operating expenses derived$113,910

$242,880 − $113,910 = $128,970

Debt service (6.66%, avg 30yr rate as of 2026-08-27, 30yr amortizing)

Monthly Principal & Interest

Standard amortization on the loan amount, at the effective rate and term

Loan amount derived$2,984,000
Interest rate (avg 30yr rate) comp6.7%
Term (assumption) assumption30 years

$2,984,000 amortized at 6.7% over 30 years = $19,176/mo

CapEx reserve (5.0% of GSR)$1,100$13,200
Mortgage insurance (PMI) (0.0% of loan, not required — down payment ≥ 20%)$0$0
Cash flow

Monthly Cash Flow

(NOI − Annual Debt Service − Annual CapEx Reserve − Annual PMI) ÷ 12

NOI derived$128,970
Annual debt service derived$230,112
Annual CapEx reserve assumption$13,200
Annual PMI assumption$0

($128,970 − $230,112 − $13,200 − $0) ÷ 12 = -$9,528

Cap rate

Cap Rate

NOI ÷ Purchase Price

NOI derived$128,970
Purchase price data$3,730,000

$128,970 ÷ $3,730,000 = 3.5%

Cash-on-cash

Cash-on-Cash Return

Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested

Annual cash flow derived-$114,342
Total cash to close derived$932,500

-$114,342 ÷ $932,500 = -12.3%

DSCR

Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR)

NOI ÷ Annual Debt Service

NOI derived$128,970
Annual debt service derived$230,112

$128,970 ÷ $230,112 = 0.56

Rent-to-price (1% rule)

Rent-to-Price (the "1% rule")

(Gross Scheduled Rent ÷ 12) ÷ Purchase Price

Gross scheduled rent (annual) comp$264,000
Purchase price data$3,730,000

($264,000 ÷ 12) ÷ $3,730,000 = 0.6%

Gross rent multiplier

Gross Rent Multiplier (GRM)

Purchase Price ÷ Gross Scheduled Rent

Purchase price data$3,730,000
Gross scheduled rent (annual) comp$264,000

$3,730,000 ÷ $264,000 = 14.1

Operating expense ratio

Operating Expense Ratio

Total Operating Expenses ÷ Effective Gross Income

Total operating expenses derived$113,910
Effective gross income derived$242,880

$113,910 ÷ $242,880 = 46.9%

Break-even occupancy

Break-Even Occupancy

(Total OpEx + Annual Debt Service + Annual PMI) ÷ Gross Scheduled Rent

Total operating expenses derived$113,910
Annual debt service derived$230,112
Annual PMI assumption$0
Gross scheduled rent (annual) comp$264,000

($113,910 + $230,112 + $0) ÷ $264,000 = 130.3%

Comparables

Same ZIP. Real active rental listings, used to derive the rent estimate above.

AddressTypeBedsBathsSqftAsking rentListedDays on market
single_family563,495$20,0002026-06-10
single_family553,202$40,0002026-03-28
single_family563,633$21,5002026-05-21
single_family553,149$22,0002026-07-01
single_family573,475$27,5002026-05-21

335 W Enid Dr

Key Biscayne, 33149 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms5 bd / 6 ba
Square footage3,495
Listed2026-06-10
Days on market

Asking rent: $20,000

View on Zillow →

330 Gulf Rd

Key Biscayne, 33149 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms5 bd / 5 ba
Square footage3,202
Listed2026-03-28
Days on market

Asking rent: $40,000

View on Zillow →

350 Redwood Ln

Key Biscayne, 33149 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms5 bd / 6 ba
Square footage3,633
Listed2026-05-21
Days on market

Asking rent: $21,500

View on Zillow →

340 Atlantic Rd

Key Biscayne, 33149 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms5 bd / 5 ba
Square footage3,149
Listed2026-07-01
Days on market

Asking rent: $22,000

View on Zillow →

442 Ridgewood Rd

Key Biscayne, 33149 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms5 bd / 7 ba
Square footage3,475
Listed2026-05-21
Days on market

Asking rent: $27,500

View on Zillow →

Same ZIP & bedroom count. Closed sales from Realtor.com over the last 12 months, matched to this property's type — real transaction prices, not asking prices. Falls back to Miami-Dade County public records (property appraiser tax roll) when Realtor.com has no sales on file for the area.

AddressTypeBedsBathsLiving sqftSale priceSale date
346 Gulf Rdsingle_family563,285$4,700,0002026-07-27
677 Hampton Lnsingle_family542,429$3,125,0002026-03-09
670 Allendale Rdsingle_family552,320$3,475,0002026-01-27
261 Greenwood Drsingle_family563,525$6,275,0002025-12-11
201 Buttonwood Drsingle_family553,791$5,265,0002025-12-09
100 Hampton Lnsingle_family563,584$6,200,0002025-12-04
220 Cypress Drsingle_family564,089$4,600,0002025-10-10

Same ZIP. Other properties currently for sale nearby — asking prices, not closed sale prices. Not a price comp; see Sold comps for actual transaction history.

AddressTypeBedsBathsSqftAsking priceDays on market
485 W Matheson Drsingle_family5911,528$237,000,000
501 Bay Lnsingle_family554,759$5,990,000
520 S Mashta Drsingle_family543,085$19,900,000
571 Glenridge Rdsingle_family573,768$7,490,000
545 Sabal Palm Drsingle_family554,166$7,950,000
24 Grand Bay Estates Cirsingle_family564,220$4,950,000
445 Grand Bay Dr Ph 1Acondos568,435$18,900,000
445 Ridgewood Rdsingle_family563,688$6,685,000

10-year hold projection

IRR2.0%
Equity multiple1.32x
Total return (10yr)$786,185
YearProperty valueNOICash flowLoan balanceEquity
1$3,841,900$128,970-$114,342$2,951,647$890,253
2$3,957,157$133,409-$110,233$2,917,072$1,040,085
3$4,075,872$137,995-$105,985$2,880,123$1,195,749
4$4,198,148$142,733-$101,594$2,840,636$1,357,512
5$4,324,092$147,628-$97,054$2,798,438$1,525,655
6$4,453,815$152,686-$92,361$2,753,342$1,700,473
7$4,587,430$157,911-$87,509$2,705,149$1,882,280
8$4,725,052$163,309-$82,494$2,653,647$2,071,406
9$4,866,804$168,885-$77,310$2,598,608$2,268,196
10$5,012,808$174,645-$71,952$2,539,789$2,473,019
Assumes 3.0% annual rent growth, 2.5% expense growth, 3.0% appreciation, and a 6.0% selling cost at exit — all placeholder assumptions, not market-derived.
All figures are estimates for evaluation purposes only, not investment, tax, legal, or insurance advice. Property tax is estimated from a real matched tax bill or millage rate when available, a placeholder % of price otherwise; insurance is scaled by flood and wind risk where those are known and a flat percentage otherwise — never a real quote. Verify all of them, along with association restrictions and permit status, before committing capital. Rent estimates come from real comps or Zillow’s ZIP index, not appraisals.