9172 Carlyle Ave

Surfside, FL 33154 · single_family · For Sale · 48 days on market
Asking price$3,495,000
4 beds 3 baths 2,239 sqft
Suggested offer$2,765,859$729,141 above the est. market value of $2,765,859.
View on Realtor.com →
Listed by Vanessa Frank · One Sotheby's International Realty
Typesingle_family
Built1942
Price / sqft$1561
Est. value (own analysis)$2,765,859
Rent estimate (own analysis)$9,500/mo
HOANone
Wind10/10Extreme$Heat10/10ExtremeFlood8/10severe$Air2/10MinorWildfire1/10Minimal
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Neighborhood

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Statusfor_sale
Listed date2026-07-16
Removed date
MLSMiamiMLS #A12052827
Coordinates25.87938, -80.12572
Address9172 Carlyle Ave
CitySurfside
StateFL
Zip33154
Listing ID5548757793
Sourceus-real-estate-listings, cached 2026-08-31

ZIP market snapshot (33154)

Typical home value (ZHVI)$1,230,561
Typical rent (ZORI)$4,738/mo
Zillow Research's ZHVI (home value index) and ZORI (rent index) for this ZIP, as of 2026-07 — free published data, refreshed monthly, no RentCast quota spent. "Typical value/rent" is a smoothed index, not a literal median of active listings.

Underwriting (buy-and-hold, default assumptions)

Purchase price$3,495,000
Down payment (20.0%)$699,000
Loan amount$2,796,000
Closing costs (5.0%)$174,750
Total cash to close$873,750
Rent (comp-derived)$9,500$114,000
Vacancy loss (8.0%)

Vacancy Loss

Gross Scheduled Rent × Vacancy Rate

Gross scheduled rent (annual) comp$114,000
Vacancy rate (assumption) assumption8.0%

$114,000 × 8.0% = $9,120

Effective gross income$8,740$104,880
Property tax (placeholder 1.9% of price)$5,534$66,405
Insurance (est. scaled by flood & wind risk)$4,544$54,522
HOA dues$0$0
Management (0.0% of EGI)$0$0
Maintenance (5.0% of GSR)$475$5,700
Total operating expenses$10,552$126,627
Net operating income (NOI)

Net Operating Income (NOI)

Effective Gross Income − Total Operating Expenses

Effective gross income derived$104,880
Total operating expenses derived$126,627

$104,880 − $126,627 = -$21,747

Debt service (6.66%, avg 30yr rate as of 2026-08-27, 30yr amortizing)

Monthly Principal & Interest

Standard amortization on the loan amount, at the effective rate and term

Loan amount derived$2,796,000
Interest rate (avg 30yr rate) comp6.7%
Term (assumption) assumption30 years

$2,796,000 amortized at 6.7% over 30 years = $17,968/mo

CapEx reserve (5.0% of GSR)$475$5,700
Mortgage insurance (PMI) (0.0% of loan, not required — down payment ≥ 20%)$0$0
Cash flow

Monthly Cash Flow

(NOI − Annual Debt Service − Annual CapEx Reserve − Annual PMI) ÷ 12

NOI derived-$21,747
Annual debt service derived$215,614
Annual CapEx reserve assumption$5,700
Annual PMI assumption$0

(-$21,747 − $215,614 − $5,700 − $0) ÷ 12 = -$20,255

Cap rate

Cap Rate

NOI ÷ Purchase Price

NOI derived-$21,747
Purchase price data$3,495,000

-$21,747 ÷ $3,495,000 = -0.6%

Cash-on-cash

Cash-on-Cash Return

Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested

Annual cash flow derived-$243,061
Total cash to close derived$873,750

-$243,061 ÷ $873,750 = -27.8%

DSCR

Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR)

NOI ÷ Annual Debt Service

NOI derived-$21,747
Annual debt service derived$215,614

-$21,747 ÷ $215,614 = -0.10

Rent-to-price (1% rule)

Rent-to-Price (the "1% rule")

(Gross Scheduled Rent ÷ 12) ÷ Purchase Price

Gross scheduled rent (annual) comp$114,000
Purchase price data$3,495,000

($114,000 ÷ 12) ÷ $3,495,000 = 0.3%

Gross rent multiplier

Gross Rent Multiplier (GRM)

Purchase Price ÷ Gross Scheduled Rent

Purchase price data$3,495,000
Gross scheduled rent (annual) comp$114,000

$3,495,000 ÷ $114,000 = 30.7

Operating expense ratio

Operating Expense Ratio

Total Operating Expenses ÷ Effective Gross Income

Total operating expenses derived$126,627
Effective gross income derived$104,880

$126,627 ÷ $104,880 = 120.7%

Break-even occupancy

Break-Even Occupancy

(Total OpEx + Annual Debt Service + Annual PMI) ÷ Gross Scheduled Rent

Total operating expenses derived$126,627
Annual debt service derived$215,614
Annual PMI assumption$0
Gross scheduled rent (annual) comp$114,000

($126,627 + $215,614 + $0) ÷ $114,000 = 300.2%

Comparables

Same ZIP. Real active rental listings, used to derive the rent estimate above.

AddressTypeBedsBathsSqftAsking rentListedDays on market
single_family432,085$7,0002026-06-28
single_family431,743$15,9502026-08-21
single_family442,057$10,0002026-05-09
single_family431,900$9,5002026-08-06
single_family431,966$8,9502026-06-08
single_family452,232$15,5002026-08-03
single_family422,093$12,5002026-05-26
single_family431,851$7,4002026-03-11
single_family431,966$8,950

8858 Harding Ave

Surfside, 33154 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms4 bd / 3 ba
Square footage2,085
Listed2026-06-28
Days on market

Asking rent: $7,000

View on Zillow →

8834 Abbott Ave

Surfside, 33154 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms4 bd / 3 ba
Square footage1,743
Listed2026-08-21
Days on market

Asking rent: $15,950

View on Zillow →

301 88th St

Surfside, 33154 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms4 bd / 4 ba
Square footage2,057
Listed2026-05-09
Days on market

Asking rent: $10,000

View on Zillow →

8950 Byron Ave

Surfside, 33154 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms4 bd / 3 ba
Square footage1,900
Listed2026-08-06
Days on market

Asking rent: $9,500

View on Zillow →

8819 Dickens Ave

Surfside, 33154 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms4 bd / 3 ba
Square footage1,966
Listed2026-06-08
Days on market

Asking rent: $8,950

View on Zillow →

52 Camden Dr

Bal Harbour, 33154 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms4 bd / 5 ba
Square footage2,232
Listed2026-08-03
Days on market

Asking rent: $15,500

View on Zillow →

1260 99th St

Bay Harbor Islands, 33154 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms4 bd / 2 ba
Square footage2,093
Listed2026-05-26
Days on market

Asking rent: $12,500

View on Zillow →

9232 Harding Ave

Surfside, 33154 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms4 bd / 3 ba
Square footage1,851
Listed2026-03-11
Days on market

Asking rent: $7,400

View on Zillow →

8819 Dickens Ave Unit Sfh

Surfside, 33154 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms4 bd / 3 ba
Square footage1,966
Listed
Days on market

Asking rent: $8,950

View on Zillow →

Same ZIP & bedroom count. Closed sales from Realtor.com over the last 12 months, matched to this property's type — real transaction prices, not asking prices. Falls back to Miami-Dade County public records (property appraiser tax roll) when Realtor.com has no sales on file for the area.

AddressTypeBedsBathsLiving sqftSale priceSale date
10121 E Broadview Drsingle_family432,848$6,150,0002026-05-18
9073 Dickens Avesingle_family433,457$2,300,0002026-05-13
220 Bal Bay Drsingle_family463,117$31,000,0002026-05-07
8858 Garland Avesingle_family432,201$2,200,0002026-04-08
1231 96th Stsingle_family443,458$3,200,0002025-11-17
10301 E Broadview Drsingle_family443,966$9,470,0002025-11-07
9280 Harding Avesingle_family421,737$1,300,0002025-10-27
1251 94th Stsingle_family433,059$4,500,0002025-10-20

Same ZIP. Other properties currently for sale nearby — asking prices, not closed sale prices. Not a price comp; see Sold comps for actual transaction history.

AddressTypeBedsBathsSqftAsking priceDays on market
8819 Dickens Avesingle_family431,469$2,085,000
9705 Collins Ave Unit 501Ncondos443,524$6,250,000
8950 Harding Avesingle_family431,917$1,599,000
9156 Froude Avesingle_family421,967$1,595,000
1000 99th St Unit 14townhomes452,519$1,750,000
9450 E Broadview Drsingle_family443,435$4,700,000
10155 Collins Ave Apt 202condos453,300$5,375,000
9033 Emerson Avesingle_family442,267$3,560,000

10-year hold projection

IRR-8.6%
Equity multiple-0.46x
Total return (10yr)-$818,109
YearProperty valueNOICash flowLoan balanceEquity
1$3,599,850-$21,747-$243,061$2,765,685$834,165
2$3,707,846-$21,766-$243,223$2,733,289$974,557
3$3,819,081-$21,770-$243,373$2,698,667$1,120,414
4$3,933,653-$21,758-$243,511$2,661,668$1,271,985
5$4,051,663-$21,729-$243,635$2,622,129$1,429,534
6$4,173,213-$21,682-$243,745$2,579,874$1,593,339
7$4,298,409-$21,616-$243,841$2,534,718$1,763,692
8$4,427,361-$21,531-$243,920$2,486,460$1,940,901
9$4,560,182-$21,424-$243,983$2,434,889$2,125,293
10$4,696,988-$21,295-$244,028$2,379,776$2,317,212
Assumes 3.0% annual rent growth, 2.5% expense growth, 3.0% appreciation, and a 6.0% selling cost at exit — all placeholder assumptions, not market-derived.
All figures are estimates for evaluation purposes only, not investment, tax, legal, or insurance advice. Property tax is estimated from a real matched tax bill or millage rate when available, a placeholder % of price otherwise; insurance is scaled by flood and wind risk where those are known and a flat percentage otherwise — never a real quote. Verify all of them, along with association restrictions and permit status, before committing capital. Rent estimates come from real comps or Zillow’s ZIP index, not appraisals.