861 Harbor Dr

Key Biscayne, FL 33149 · single_family · Pending — under contract · 135 days on market
Asking price$9,500,000
5 beds 4 baths 3,405 sqft
Suggested offer$4,871,690$4,628,311 above the est. market value of $4,871,690.
View on Realtor.com →
Listed by Brigitte De Langeron · DLS International Realty
Typesingle_family
Built1963
Price / sqft$2790
Est. value (own analysis)$4,871,690
Rent estimate (own analysis)$27,500/mo
HOANone
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Neighborhood

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Statusfor_sale
Listed date2026-04-20
Removed date
MLSMiamiMLS #A12004666
Coordinates25.68508, -80.16922
Address861 Harbor Dr
CityKey Biscayne
StateFL
Zip33149
Listing ID5056015027
Sourceus-real-estate-listings, cached 2026-08-31

ZIP market snapshot (33149)

Typical home value (ZHVI)$1,692,135
Typical rent (ZORI)$7,910/mo
Zillow Research's ZHVI (home value index) and ZORI (rent index) for this ZIP, as of 2026-07 — free published data, refreshed monthly, no RentCast quota spent. "Typical value/rent" is a smoothed index, not a literal median of active listings.

Underwriting (buy-and-hold, default assumptions)

Purchase price$9,500,000
Down payment (20.0%)$1,900,000
Loan amount$7,600,000
Closing costs (5.0%)$475,000
Total cash to close$2,375,000
Rent (comp-derived)$27,500$330,000
Vacancy loss (8.0%)

Vacancy Loss

Gross Scheduled Rent × Vacancy Rate

Gross scheduled rent (annual) comp$330,000
Vacancy rate (assumption) assumption8.0%

$330,000 × 8.0% = $26,400

Effective gross income$25,300$303,600
Property tax (placeholder 1.9% of price)$15,042$180,500
Insurance (placeholder 0.8% of price)$6,333$76,000
HOA dues$0$0
Management (0.0% of EGI)$0$0
Maintenance (5.0% of GSR)$1,375$16,500
Total operating expenses$22,750$273,000
Net operating income (NOI)

Net Operating Income (NOI)

Effective Gross Income − Total Operating Expenses

Effective gross income derived$303,600
Total operating expenses derived$273,000

$303,600 − $273,000 = $30,600

Debt service (6.66%, avg 30yr rate as of 2026-08-27, 30yr amortizing)

Monthly Principal & Interest

Standard amortization on the loan amount, at the effective rate and term

Loan amount derived$7,600,000
Interest rate (avg 30yr rate) comp6.7%
Term (assumption) assumption30 years

$7,600,000 amortized at 6.7% over 30 years = $48,840/mo

CapEx reserve (5.0% of GSR)$1,375$16,500
Mortgage insurance (PMI) (0.0% of loan, not required — down payment ≥ 20%)$0$0
Cash flow

Monthly Cash Flow

(NOI − Annual Debt Service − Annual CapEx Reserve − Annual PMI) ÷ 12

NOI derived$30,600
Annual debt service derived$586,076
Annual CapEx reserve assumption$16,500
Annual PMI assumption$0

($30,600 − $586,076 − $16,500 − $0) ÷ 12 = -$47,665

Cap rate

Cap Rate

NOI ÷ Purchase Price

NOI derived$30,600
Purchase price data$9,500,000

$30,600 ÷ $9,500,000 = 0.3%

Cash-on-cash

Cash-on-Cash Return

Annual Cash Flow ÷ Total Cash Invested

Annual cash flow derived-$571,976
Total cash to close derived$2,375,000

-$571,976 ÷ $2,375,000 = -24.1%

DSCR

Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR)

NOI ÷ Annual Debt Service

NOI derived$30,600
Annual debt service derived$586,076

$30,600 ÷ $586,076 = 0.05

Rent-to-price (1% rule)

Rent-to-Price (the "1% rule")

(Gross Scheduled Rent ÷ 12) ÷ Purchase Price

Gross scheduled rent (annual) comp$330,000
Purchase price data$9,500,000

($330,000 ÷ 12) ÷ $9,500,000 = 0.3%

Gross rent multiplier

Gross Rent Multiplier (GRM)

Purchase Price ÷ Gross Scheduled Rent

Purchase price data$9,500,000
Gross scheduled rent (annual) comp$330,000

$9,500,000 ÷ $330,000 = 28.8

Operating expense ratio

Operating Expense Ratio

Total Operating Expenses ÷ Effective Gross Income

Total operating expenses derived$273,000
Effective gross income derived$303,600

$273,000 ÷ $303,600 = 89.9%

Break-even occupancy

Break-Even Occupancy

(Total OpEx + Annual Debt Service + Annual PMI) ÷ Gross Scheduled Rent

Total operating expenses derived$273,000
Annual debt service derived$586,076
Annual PMI assumption$0
Gross scheduled rent (annual) comp$330,000

($273,000 + $586,076 + $0) ÷ $330,000 = 260.3%

Comparables

Same ZIP. Real active rental listings, used to derive the rent estimate above.

AddressTypeBedsBathsSqftAsking rentListedDays on market
single_family563,650$28,5002026-05-19
single_family563,495$20,0002026-06-10
single_family563,661$55,0002026-07-20
single_family553,202$40,0002026-03-28
single_family563,633$21,5002026-05-21
single_family553,149$22,0002026-07-01
single_family573,475$27,5002026-05-21

125 Hampton Ln

Key Biscayne, 33149 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms5 bd / 6 ba
Square footage3,650
Listed2026-05-19
Days on market

Asking rent: $28,500

View on Zillow →

335 W Enid Dr

Key Biscayne, 33149 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms5 bd / 6 ba
Square footage3,495
Listed2026-06-10
Days on market

Asking rent: $20,000

View on Zillow →

270 Island Dr

Key Biscayne, 33149 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms5 bd / 6 ba
Square footage3,661
Listed2026-07-20
Days on market

Asking rent: $55,000

View on Zillow →

330 Gulf Rd

Key Biscayne, 33149 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms5 bd / 5 ba
Square footage3,202
Listed2026-03-28
Days on market

Asking rent: $40,000

View on Zillow →

350 Redwood Ln

Key Biscayne, 33149 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms5 bd / 6 ba
Square footage3,633
Listed2026-05-21
Days on market

Asking rent: $21,500

View on Zillow →

340 Atlantic Rd

Key Biscayne, 33149 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms5 bd / 5 ba
Square footage3,149
Listed2026-07-01
Days on market

Asking rent: $22,000

View on Zillow →

442 Ridgewood Rd

Key Biscayne, 33149 · rent comp

Bedrooms / bathrooms5 bd / 7 ba
Square footage3,475
Listed2026-05-21
Days on market

Asking rent: $27,500

View on Zillow →

Same ZIP & bedroom count. Closed sales from Realtor.com over the last 12 months, matched to this property's type — real transaction prices, not asking prices. Falls back to Miami-Dade County public records (property appraiser tax roll) when Realtor.com has no sales on file for the area.

AddressTypeBedsBathsLiving sqftSale priceSale date
346 Gulf Rdsingle_family563,285$4,700,0002026-07-27
677 Hampton Lnsingle_family542,429$3,125,0002026-03-09
670 Allendale Rdsingle_family552,320$3,475,0002026-01-27
261 Greenwood Drsingle_family563,525$6,275,0002025-12-11
201 Buttonwood Drsingle_family553,791$5,265,0002025-12-09
100 Hampton Lnsingle_family563,584$6,200,0002025-12-04
220 Cypress Drsingle_family564,089$4,600,0002025-10-10

Same ZIP. Other properties currently for sale nearby — asking prices, not closed sale prices. Not a price comp; see Sold comps for actual transaction history.

AddressTypeBedsBathsSqftAsking priceDays on market
485 W Matheson Drsingle_family5911,528$237,000,000
501 Bay Lnsingle_family554,759$5,990,000
520 S Mashta Drsingle_family543,085$19,900,000
571 Glenridge Rdsingle_family573,768$7,490,000
545 Sabal Palm Drsingle_family554,166$7,950,000
24 Grand Bay Estates Cirsingle_family564,220$4,950,000
524 Warren Lnsingle_family542,700$3,730,000
445 Grand Bay Dr Ph 1Acondos568,435$18,900,000

10-year hold projection

IRR-6.2%
Equity multiple-0.04x
Total return (10yr)-$1,225,131
YearProperty valueNOICash flowLoan balanceEquity
1$9,785,000$30,600-$571,976$7,517,599$2,267,401
2$10,078,550$32,883-$570,105$7,429,540$2,649,010
3$10,380,907$35,269-$568,142$7,335,433$3,045,474
4$10,692,334$37,761-$566,084$7,234,864$3,457,470
5$11,013,104$40,364-$563,925$7,127,389$3,885,715
6$11,343,497$43,081-$561,663$7,012,533$4,330,964
7$11,683,802$45,918-$559,293$6,889,790$4,794,012
8$12,034,316$48,879-$556,811$6,758,618$5,275,697
9$12,395,345$51,967-$554,212$6,618,439$5,776,906
10$12,767,206$55,190-$551,492$6,468,633$6,298,572
Assumes 3.0% annual rent growth, 2.5% expense growth, 3.0% appreciation, and a 6.0% selling cost at exit — all placeholder assumptions, not market-derived.
All figures are estimates for evaluation purposes only, not investment, tax, legal, or insurance advice. Property tax is estimated from a real matched tax bill or millage rate when available, a placeholder % of price otherwise; insurance is scaled by flood and wind risk where those are known and a flat percentage otherwise — never a real quote. Verify all of them, along with association restrictions and permit status, before committing capital. Rent estimates come from real comps or Zillow’s ZIP index, not appraisals.